U.S. Committee on Foreign Investment Clears T-Mobile's Sprint Purchase, but Approval is Still Needed From Other Agencies

In an ideal world, regional carriers would be the norm, with regulations in place that they must allow roaming on their networks so everyone shares infrastructure. This could offer more competition and lower prices, but with potentially more complications and inconsistency in technology.

We had that since the 1980s, after AT&T was found guilty of violating the Sherman anti-trust act, and was broken up. Until then, everything was just AT&T. They were the one. But then they forced out competition and that was a no-no. So, AT&T was relegated to long distance service only, and all the local wireline services were divided into regions across the country (the Regional Bell Operating Companies, RBOCs). Worse, each of them had sub-divided territories they broke up into LATAs (local access transport areas) for wireline call-routing and regional long distance; it was awful madness and terrible. Intra-LATA service was your local RBOC; Inter-LATA service had to dial out to a Long Distance provider, which was only AT&T at the time (until Sprint came into the picture, then later MCI and Worldcom). [My family worked for an RBOC here in the US so I was acutely aware and involved with the ebbs and flows of the businesses.]

This lasted largely through the 1990s until 1994-ish when President Clinton signed the Telecommunications Act into law. The local RBOCs wanted to offer inter-LATA long distance service, but that was AT&T territory. AT&T wanted to get back into wireline service. By this time, Motorola had also begun standing up cellular towers and brought in the first generation mobile wireless service. It was a wave of new innovation, including DSL and the fragments that became DOCSIS for coax cable service, which was strictly a domain of your local cable provider, which was regionalized and heavily regulated. Everybody wanted a piece of wireless, cable, DSL, long distance, and local wireline.

The law stipulated: Ok, AT&T you can have wireline service again if you give up exclusivity to your long distance. RBOCs, you can have long distance service if you give up your intra-LATA long distance exclusivity to a long distance provider. Sprint/MCI, you can have LATA service if you share your long distance. Effectively: everyone compete with everyone and you can all have a piece of the pie. Mobile cellular wireless was excluded, since it was an bundled thing (handsets + wireless + the wired backhaul at the time).

So the "ideal world" existed. What happened? The Telcom Act happened. And the wireline service nearly died overnight, wireless clearly became the way of the future. Then the RBOCs were allowed to re-unite. NyNEX (in New York) merged with BBN and became GTE. GTE bought Bell Atlantic and became Verizon. Southern Bell renamed to BellSouth, and merged with southern-region RBOCs. BellSouth had a strong wireless service of their own that eventually became Cingular Wireless (and partnered with someone else; i forget). SouthWestern Bell merged with Pacific Bell (IIRC) and became SBC. There was a mid-western Bell that merged with another one and became AmeriTech (based in Chicago). Another west-region Bell merged with another and became Qwest. SBC later bought Ameritech and became SBC AmeriTech. Verizon partnered with a foreign company (i forget the name) and offered Verizon Wireless. Verizon Wireless bought Alltel in the southern US (which came out of a few local wireless mergers, i think including US Cellular). SBC AmeriTech eventually merged with/bought Cingular Wireless. Verizon finally bought its own Verizon Wireless back into just Verizon.

Sprint offered Internet service and partnered with Earthlink for wireline dial-up, DSL, and DOCSIS cable service. There were two popular other Internet providers for dial-up, DSL, and cable (Earthlink and MindSpring) but they eventually merged. AOL was super-popular during this time and partnered with Earthlink in some areas, and partnered with the new-but-growing AT&T Cable in other regions. Eventually, Sprint started dying so they broke themselves up big time. They sold the mobile cellular wireless to Nextel, sold the wireline services including DSL to CenturyTel, and kept the commercial Internet and backbone service; CenturyTel bought a few other locally-divested wireline services and became CenturyLink. Nextel eventually quasi-died and renamed itself Sprint Wireless, which is what T-Mobile is buying. I forget what happened to Sprint's Internet backbone service; probably sold off to Worldcom.

What happened to MCI? MCI bought WorldCom, and got caught in accounting fraud and went bankrupt. Verizon bought the remains of MCI WorldCom. AT&T ran into troubles and quietly went bankrupt and died. Yep, AT&T died. SBC AmeriTech quickly bought the remains of AT&T mobile wireless service, divested the wireline phone, long distance, DSL, and cable service off to various places (everybody got a piece of this I think), then bought Cingular Wireless all in one single deal. SBC AmeriTech swapped company names and logos, and renamed itself the new AT&T. And the new CEO dude walked out on stage at Macworld in 2007 with Steve Jobs to unveil the first iPhone and announce the new AT&T Wireless service and partnership with Apple.

Meanwhile, the ashes of local wireline dial-up and DSL were given to new companies like Frontier and CenturyLink. CenturyLink made their business lean and efficient and continued to gobble up the remaining terrestrial services. The media-merger of AOL Time-Warner was a disaster and later AOL was spun back out and now I think it has died and been given away. Time-Warner Telecom was sold to Level3 Telecom. CenturyLink just bought Level3 for terrestrial wired Internet service (residential, commercial, and backbone). Sprint's internet backbone was sold off to somewhere, probably ended up in CenturyLink. CenturyLink also bought up Qwest in the mid-west.

On the cable side, eventually Charter bought Time-Warner Cable and became Specturm. I think Comcast bought the cable service of SBC AmeriTech/AT&T cable service during the big AT&T death deal. Oh, and I used to work for the company that became Windstream datacenter services. Windstream was a local provider that gobbled up a lot of wireline stuff then they bought into the datacenter Internet/hosted business, and screwed up much of that. So they split the hosted/datacenter stuff back out and became TierPoint. Windstream itself continued on to buy up cable, wireline, and local services, much like Frontier. The FCC established a local telecom fund (the USF - universal service fund) to pay for super-rural wireline services, which pays for the likes of Frontier, Windstream, and other tiny local-only services. It's all huge and incestuous at this point. :)

So the ideal world existed. Now it's largely "AT&T wireless, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Wireless, T-Mobile, CenturyLink, Comcast, Spectrum", and wireline is mostly Frontier, Windstream, and maybe some USF-funded smaller players. Everything else is pretty much just MNVO or partnership/sub-divide of those. There are some smaller others, but they won't last much longer, either. Eventually, sadly, it will all become AT&T and Verizon for mobile wireless; Sprint/T-Mobile won't last for much longer. Wireline will continue to be wasteland of commercial/residential Internet with CenturyLink (only because they bought Level3), Comcast, Spectrum, Frontier(?) but they will eventually unite in some fashion.

I see Frontier and Windstream uniting as Windstream, buying up other wireline remains, then you'll see a three-way battle with Comcast, Spectrum, and the bigger Windstream. Those three will duke it out and become two companies; wireline Internet (fiber, DSL, whatever), and the other one just cable/DOCSIS/fiber. You'll have 2 wireless providers, and 2 terrestrial providers. Welcome to the year 2025.

Have a nice day. :)

Still, hope they go the T-Mobile way in staying consumer friendly as they were in shaking things up in 2015. Sprint's only asset is their broadband license portfolio.

I'm not too worried about that, it's kinda a foregone conclusion. The earlier merger talks fell apart because Sprint was deluded enough to think they should be the management of the new company. They have already shown how spectacularly bad they are, meanwhile T-Mobile is gaining customers, winning in the PR-field with their "UnCarrier" initiatives, and overtaken Sprint as the third-largest carrier. It obvious who needs who here.

I'd rather they stay separate just for the sake of "more competition", but if macduke's comment is true about Sprint being "five years away" from sutting down, I guess a merger with T-Mobile is the better deal, simply because it keeps the spectrum licenses away from VeriT&T.

If that's the case then I'd agree, the merger would be beneficial to Americans, rather than Sprint going down under, where we'd only have 2 giants att and verizon, with a 3rd much weaker one T-Mobile. Better to have 3 about even, so prices won't go up much. still though with only the 3 big players it will be like the airlines, where if one raises prices, the other two follow suit. Prices might go up gradually.

Prices always go up gradually. It’s how the economy works. When it doesn’t you have a recession. Maybe one day technology will be advanced enough that wireless tech can be deployed far and wide at a low cost, but that day is not today. This is why wireless rates are generally lower in smaller developed countries—they have a much smaller service area but a denser average population.

If that's the case then I'd agree, the merger would be beneficial to Americans, rather than Sprint going down under with thousands of Sprint employee job losses, where we'd only have 2 giants att and verizon, with a 3rd much weaker one T-Mobile. Better to have 3 about even, so prices won't go up much. still though with only the 3 big players it will be like the airlines, where if one raises prices, the other two follow suit. Prices might go up gradually.

There will be thousands of job losses either way. Two companies who do the same thing merging always means layoffs and removing redundant personnel. The buying company always feels like they need to "make back" the money they spent on the acquisition so they will raise rates and look for ways to cut costs.

A new Sprint store just opened in my city. Like, just just within the last couple months. Brand new building and everything. They bought a location that was a local fast-food Mexican chain for the site of the new store. This new store is literally across the street from a years-established T-Mobile store, and I don't mean "in the general area". I mean, you can walk from one to the other in 30 seconds. I lost a place I used to frequently go for food late at night because the regional management was too shortsighted to think "woo, maybe we should wait and see how this merger pans out in case we join T-Mobile and already have a location right there."

The way I look at it, Sprint is probably 5 years away from collapse. You really think they can deploy 5G? They could barely do 4G. If their infrastructure goes up for auction, who do you think is gonna win it? AT&T and Verizon. At least this makes for a stronger third player, and one that is historically more consumer friendly. It sucks, but the harsh reality is that the US is a big place, therefore it doesn’t make financial sense for there to be a lot of carriers covering the whole country. If that were the case, I’d argue prices would actually be higher than they already are because they all have to maintain the same network size with fewer customers each.

In an ideal world, regional carriers would be the norm, with regulations in place that they must allow roaming on their networks so everyone shares infrastructure. This could offer more competition and lower prices, but with potentially more complications and inconsistency in technology.

Thanks for the informative post. I knew some of this history but not nearly as much as this. AOL was purchased by a subsidiary of Verizon called Oath, which is an ad company that also owns other remnants of the internet such as Yahoo, Tumblr, and Flickr which I think they recently sold. Also I thought U.S. Cellular still exists, or is it owned by someone else and operating under the old name still? CenturyLink is interesting—they've been laying 1 gigabit fiber around my town. Looking forward to it coming to my house. I have 500Mbps Mediacom, they offer up to 1Gbps, but the upload is only 30-40Mbps on mine and maybe 10Mbps faster for 1Gbps.

The whole thing is a mess and more organic than people like to think. I was just saying that ideally you wouldn't have all these pre-existing weird conditions and could just divide things up evenly with agreements in place to service certain regions and share everything equally without the ability to merge. Everything would be set up perfectly from the start, but of course an ideal world never works in practice and is near impossible to achieve after the fact.

I think T-Mobile will be around for a long time to come. They've been doing well financially, they've been improving their coverage and customer service and will only be boosted by filling in the gaps with Sprint. I don't think regulators will really let it go down to just two major players, especially when it would make one major player nearly double the size of the second major player. 2/3 of the business for a monopoly is pretty wild.

Another point is that I see a lot of wireline providers dying off. Why? 5G. Verizon looks to be making a big play at affordable home 5G starting at $70/mo or $50/mo if you already have Verizon cellular service. This allows you to bypass the cable and DSL companies entirely, and they can't try to block it locally because it doesn't require any lines to be buried. If they make it as easy as giving you a box with a sim card in it that blankets your house with WiFi, people won't care where it comes from. 5G can theoretically go beyond 1Gbps and I believe they are working on lowering the ping for it. Hardcore gamers might stay away from it, but it's only a matter of time before most people use that. Furthermore, they currently have no data caps, though knowing these companies it might not stay that way. But as it is now, I have a 4TB cap on my 500Mbps cable plan, so that's already a thing for wireline. Anyway, a 5G service would also be beneficial to users in the country who never get lines out their way. I have a friend in another state who lives 45-60 minutes north of Dallas in the country and has some weird internet called Speed of Light Broadband that is only like 10-15Mbps and has some ping issues because it's relayed over a radio antenna or something bizarre. People like him would benefit greatly from home 5G connections, especially since he is into games and everything is going digital and even though he buys discs, games like Fallout 76 still had a 52GB download that took him a couple days. But that garbage heap of a game is probably an extreme example, lol.

Heck yeah, the whole thing is a mess for sure. Regulations, legacy, bureaucracy, oof... nasty. T-Mobile is fighting dog, for sure. I do hope they make it and at least keep a third pole for us

I forgot about where AOL went, thanks for the refresher. That whole ordeal of AOL-becoming-media was weird; it's just a brand at this point and needs to die. :)

I totally agree about 5G. Pervasive wireless is going to de facto annihilate wireline; I just wonder what CenturyLink is going to do with all that copper infrastructure in the ground... I wonder if they become the one national copper/wireline provider instead. :) Which is exactly what Old AT&T was!! hahaha!

Long ago, I had a customer with an important user in the mountains of NC (yeah, "there's always one in the crowd") who had similar service as your friend. I think their last-mile (give or take a few miles) was also bounced off a microwave tower, and they had nasty latency due to the half-duplex nature, and low bit rate at the time (hundreds of kilobits/per second at that time, 15-ish years ago). I thought then, "dude, your important user needs to friggin' move, or accept the consequences of their hermit lifestyle... I can't fix that!". Sheesh.

5G wireless already has a cross-breeding specs built in with 802.11 WiFi (802.11ad, WiGig). Researchers in Switzerland have already demonstrated it with LTE-A (https://files.ifi.uzh.ch/CSG/staff/Rafati/Handoff-IFI-2018.03.pdf (i hope MR allows this URL; if not: https colon slash slash files.ifi.uzh.ch/CSG/staff/Rafati/Handoff-IFI-2018.03.pdf ). So yeah, 5G Cellular and WiFi is going to be super interesting in the future.